The Baseline News
3 February

Facts first. Bias removed. Form your own judgement.

Today’s Headlines

  • Epstein files dominate headlines again, with fresh fallout for Peter Mandelson as he’s kicked out of the House of Lords and criminal investigations open for both Mandelson and ‘Prince’ Andrew.

  • The U.S. House passes a bill aimed at ending the partial government shutdown.

  • The U.S. military shoots down an Iranian drone amid rising regional tension.

  • We’re shooting for the moon (again) and NASA’s plan to get us there soon.

Epstein Files Fallout Continues

What’s Actually Happened:

Among the new material released are email exchanges and documents involving Peter Mandelson (the most recent UK ambassador to the US) and Prince Andrew, which have triggered fresh political and legal repercussions. Lord Mandelson has resigned from the House of Lords and faces a police review of alleged misconduct in public office, after emails showed him passing market-sensitive government information to Jeffrey Epstein while he was a senior minister. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has asked officials to explore ways to strip his peerage (prior to his resignation) and has referred the matter to police. Prince Andrew is also under renewed scrutiny, with political calls for him to cooperate with investigators in the US, whilst Police have opened fresh investigations into reports that a second woman was trafficked to the UK to have sex with Andrew.

What’s Been Said:

Supporter’s Framing - Sky News, UK Govt. Statements, The Guardian
Supporters argue that accountability is long overdue and that the latest disclosures underline why powerful figures must answer questions when evidence suggests improper conduct linked to one of the most serious criminal cases in recent history. Steps such as referring matters to police, resignations from public office, removing institutional privileges, and pressing for cooperation with investigators are seen as essential to upholding the rule of law and restoring public trust. Advocates also point to the episode as highlighting long-standing weaknesses in UK political structures, particularly the difficulty of removing peers from the House of Lords, and welcome Starmer’s willingness to pursue reform rather than treat the issue as purely reputational.

International Reporting- Associated Press, Al Jazeera, CNN, El Paris
Internationally, coverage has largely framed the recent file releases through the lens of accountability for the elite and international justice, with US media focusing on the scale of the Justice Department disclosures, their slow releases and heavy redactions for unresolved aspects of the Epstein case, while European outlets emphasise institutional fallout in the UK. American reporting has highlighted renewed calls for cooperation with US investigators and congressional scrutiny of Epstein-linked networks, whereas outlets in Europe and beyond have drawn attention to how established democracies handle revelations involving powerful figures years after alleged misconduct. It’s noted that across Europe, those involved are being investigated and somewhat ‘held-to-account’ whilst in the US, little has been done to bring people to justice.

Why This Matters:

The Epstein files continue to reshape public debate about power, accountability and privilege. When a former senior cabinet minister and a member of the royal family are implicated in fresh disclosures, it raises broader questions about elite networks, transparency, and whether existing institutions are equipped (and involved?) to manage the fallout fairly and effectively. The episode also exposes structural gaps, such as how peers can be removed from the House of Lords, and highlights the challenge democracies face in balancing openness with legal fairness when large volumes of historical material are released. How investigations proceed, and how those named respond, will have lasting implications for public trust in justice, governance and institutional integrity.

The Baseline:

  • What can be done to stop this from happening again?

  • Is resignation accountability or reputational self-preservation?

  • Who is being protected? Who are we not talking about? Why?

US Shutdown Crisis Averted

What’s Actually Happened:

A potential US government shutdown was averted after lawmakers reached a bipartisan funding agreement just before critical deadlines. The Senate and House passed a $1.2 trillion appropriations package funding 11 federal agencies through September 30 and providing a temporary extension for Department of Homeland Security (DHS) funding, giving negotiators more time to work on contentious ICE policy reforms. The House narrowly approved the deal 217-214 and sent it to President Trump, who has signalled he will sign it, effectively ending a partial shutdown that began as funding lapsed while the package awaited approval. The arrangement separates DHS from other spending bills to keep most of the government operational while contentious policy debates continue.

What’s Been Said:

Left-Wing Framing - Reuters, The Guardian, NBC News
From the left, averting the shutdown is framed as a necessary act of responsible governance that prevented mass furloughs, service disruptions, and economic uncertainty. Democrats argue they blocked ‘brinkmanship’, particularly over immigration and DHS funding, and forced a compromise that keeps most of the government open while buying time for further negotiations. Supporters also frame the outcome as evidence that extreme tactics around shutdown threats are politically damaging and unsustainable, pointing to the narrow House vote as proof that compromise was unavoidable.

Right-Wing Framing - Fox News, Daily Wire, National Review
The deal is often portrayed as a temporary retreat rather than a win, driven by political pressure to avoid another unpopular shutdown. Conservatives argue Republicans conceded leverage by agreeing to short-term funding without securing firm immigration or border enforcement changes, particularly around ICE and DHS. In this framing, the shutdown was only “postponed,” core policy fights remain unresolved, and Democrats benefited from forcing a clean funding extension while contentious issues were kicked down the road.

Why This Matters:

This matters because government shutdowns have real impacts- disruptions to federal services, furloughed workers, delayed benefits, and economic uncertainty. How Congress handles funding deadlines says a lot about institutional stability amid polarisation. Averted shutdowns can maintain continuity, but short-term fixes also spotlight persistent divides over immigration, spending priorities, and legislative process. The pattern of last-minute deals raises questions about long-term fiscal governance and whether further crises are likely as political fault lines deepen. In a world marred by uncertainty, especially economically, shutdowns are the last thing we need, especially in a world so reliant on a strong US dollar and economy.

The Baseline:

  • How does US political instability affect you? (Regardless of where you live)

  • Who ultimately bears the cost of these standoffs?

  • Who is in the right? How does this make you feel?

US Shoots Down Iranian Drone

What’s Actually Happened:

The U.S. military shot down an Iranian drone after it approached the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier while the ship was operating in international waters in the Arabian Sea. U.S. Central Command said the drone flew toward the carrier with unclear intent and did not respond to warnings, prompting a defensive interception. No injuries or damage were reported. The incident occurred amid heightened regional tensions, including recent Iranian naval activity involving commercial shipping near the Strait of Hormuz.

What’s Been Said:

US Response - Reuters, PBS, CNN
From the U.S. perspective, the shoot-down was a defensive and proportionate action taken to protect U.S. forces and a major naval asset. American officials describe the drone’s approach as unsafe and part of a broader pattern of Iranian harassment and destabilising behaviour in key waterways. Washington has framed the incident as a routine self-defence measure under international law, stressing that U.S. forces were operating legally in international waters and took action only after de-escalation attempts failed. US reports also emphasise US oil tankers being confronted by Iranian gunboats.

Iranian Response - Al Jazeera, Middle East Eye, BBC News
Iranian officials have not issued a detailed public acknowledgement of the shoot-down, with state media offering limited or indirect references to drone activity in the area. More broadly, Tehran maintains that U.S. military deployments in the region are provocative and that Iran’s actions are defensive responses to foreign forces near its borders. Iranian narratives typically frame such incidents as evidence of American militarisation of the region rather than Iranian aggression.

Why This Matters:

The incident matters because direct U.S.-Iran military encounters carry escalation risks, particularly in strategically vital waterways that handle a significant share of global energy and trade. Even limited, defensive actions can heighten tensions, complicate diplomatic efforts on issues such as Iran’s nuclear programme, and increase the risk of miscalculation. The shoot-down also sends a deterrence signal to Iran while reinforcing U.S. commitments to protecting freedom of navigation- dynamics that closely affect regional allies, global markets, and broader Middle East stability.

The Baseline:

  • How would a war in the Middle East affect you?

  • Does deterrence prevent conflict, or invite it?

  • Do you support US intervention in the Middle East? Should we let Iran have nuclear weapons?

To The Moon!

What’s Actually Happened:

NASA’s Artemis program is progressing toward returning humans to lunar space and, eventually, the lunar surface for the first time in over 50 years. The next key mission, Artemis II, is the first crewed flight beyond low Earth orbit since Apollo and is now targeted for launch no earlier than March 2026 after technical issues, including hydrogen fuel leaks detected during a wet dress rehearsal test, delayed a final February window. The mission will send four astronauts, including the first woman, first person of colour on a deep-space mission, and first non-American in lunar transit, on a 10-day flight around the Moon and back, demonstrating critical systems and operations needed for future lunar landings. This mission builds on Artemis I, an uncrewed test flight already flown successfully, and paves the way for Artemis III, which aims to land astronauts near the lunar south pole later in the decade. NASA’s Artemis mission will eventually lead to a permanent base for humans on the moon.

Why This Matters:

NASA’s return to the Moon matters for science, technology, geopolitics and future exploration. First, Artemis missions will test deep-space systems, expand our understanding of lunar geology, and gather data crucial for future human missions to Mars and beyond. Second, the program’s diversity, with historic firsts for crew composition, aims to inspire a new generation and reflect broader participation in space exploration. Third, succeeding at Artemis reinforces U.S. leadership in space at a time of growing competition with other spacefaring nations. Finally, establishing a sustained presence on and around the Moon could enable long-term scientific bases and commercial activity, redefine how humanity uses lunar resources, and deepen international cooperation under frameworks like the Artemis Accords.

The Baseline:

  • Do you agree in the emphasis on having a diverse group of astronauts going to space? Is it a great achievement? Why mention it?

  • Should we be focusing on space travel or more pressing problems here on Earth?

  • Do you believe this should be an international mission led by multiple States?

You’ve now reflected on these events, how they made you feel, what judgments you formed, and why.

That process is building your political judgement.

The Baseline

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