The Baseline News
7 February
Facts first. Bias removed. Form your own judgement.
Today’s Headlines
Fallout continues after Donald Trump posts a video that depicts the Obamas as apes.
Winter Olympics crowds boo JD Vance during the opening ceremony.
The US sets a June deadline for ending the Ukraine war.
Concern grows over the disappearance of Nancy Guthrie.
Iran–US developments continue amid fragile diplomatic signals.
Word of the Day: Imbue
Quote of the Day:
Strength so easily attained, in fact, is not really strength at all.
The Baseline Deep Dive
Trump Video Sparks Outrage
What’s Actually Happened:
President Trump shared a video on his social media platform, Truth Social, that included a brief clip depicting former President Barack Obama and former First Lady Michelle Obama as apes, a racist trope with a long history. The clip appeared in a video (that included many other democrats depicted as animals) about claims of election fraud in the 2020 election and was online for roughly 12 hours before being deleted amid widespread backlash. The White House initially defended the post and then said it was erroneously shared by a staffer. Trump has refused to apologise, saying he didn’t see the offensive portion and that he condemned the imagery, but repeated that he “didn’t make a mistake.” The incident drew condemnation from figures within Trump’s own party and civil rights leaders.
What’s Been Said:
Right-wing Framing - Sky News, Fox News, Conservative commentators
Many on the right have downplayed the significance of the incident or focused on context outside the racist imagery. Some Republican allies echoed the White House line that the offensive portion was an internet meme video about election fraud that was posted in error by a staffer and not intended by Trump, emphasising procedural explanation over intent. Others on the right described the backlash as “fake outrage” driven by political opponents or activists, arguing that the broader discussion should centre on issues like election legitimacy rather than focus on the offensive clip. Some conservative commentators also criticised the media’s emphasis on the video as a distraction from more substantive policy debates. However, certain Republican lawmakers, including Senator Tim Scott, openly broke with this defence and condemned the imagery as racist and unacceptable, claiming “it’s the most racist thing I’ve seen” from the white house.
Left-wing Framing - The Guardian, EuroNews, Sky News, CNN
Left-wing and Democratic commentators have strongly condemned the post as racist, demeaning, and dangerous, pointing out the long history of equating Black people with apes as a racist trope used to justify exclusion and violence. Civil rights organisations and Democratic politicians described the video as offensive and demanded accountability, with some saying an apology was necessary. Many left-leaning outlets and activists argue that a sitting or former president sharing such imagery, even inadvertently, normalises racist depictions and signals tolerance for harmful tropes, eroding norms of respect and equality. Several Democratic lawmakers also highlighted the issue in the context of broader concerns about Trump’s rhetoric and its impact on minority communities.
Why This Matters:
This incident matters because it goes beyond a routine social media controversy and touches on race, presidential conduct, and public norms in U.S. political discourse. The imagery used in the post invokes historically racist tropes that have been weaponised to dehumanise Black people, and the mixed messaging from the White House, defensive at first, then attributing it to an aide, raises questions about accountability and oversight in political communication at the highest level. Bipartisan condemnation shows that such imagery is seen as unacceptable across much of the political spectrum, and how leaders respond sets a precedent. In addition, because Trump remains a central figure in American politics with a large social media following and potential electoral ambitions, such episodes can shape public perceptions of tolerance for racist symbolism, deepen partisan and racial divides, and influence broader debates about media literacy and political responsibility.
The Baseline:
Do you believe it was a simple mistake or intentional racism?
Should politics be taken more seriously?
Do consequences matter more than intent?
US Sets June Deadline for Ukraine War End
What’s Actually Happened:
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced that the United States has proposed a June 2026 deadline for Ukraine and Russia to reach an agreement to end the nearly four-year war. According to Zelenskyy, U.S. officials are pushing for a clear schedule of steps toward a peace deal and have suggested trilateral talks, reportedly to be held in the U.S., possibly in Miami, in the coming weeks. The June timeline is intended to concentrate diplomatic efforts and apply pressure on both Kyiv and Moscow to make meaningful progress toward an agreement before summer. It follows recent U.S.-brokered talks in Abu Dhabi that yielded no major breakthrough, with core disputes, such as Russia’s demand that Ukraine withdraw from the Donbas region and Ukraine’s firm refusal to do so, still unresolved.
What’s Been Said:
Supportive Framing - The Guardian, AP, LA Times, Reuters
Supporters of the U.S. deadline argue that establishing a firm timeline is a necessary catalyst for diplomacy after years of stalled negotiation and grinding war. Proponents say that without a clear target date, peace talks have lacked urgency and structure, allowing both sides to remain entrenched. The June deadline, even if aspirational, could help focus diplomatic resources, rally international partners behind a concrete agenda, and signal that the U.S. is serious about ending a costly conflict. Advocates also point out that war fatigue, economic strain, and humanitarian suffering on both sides require intensified diplomatic effort, and that forcing a structured schedule may encourage compromise where open-ended talks have failed.
Critical Framing - The Guardian, France24, PBS News
Critics caution that the June deadline may be largely symbolic or politically motivated, rather than grounded in the realities of peace negotiations. Some observers point out that previous attempts (including U.S.-brokered Abu Dhabi talks) have not produced progress despite similar timelines, and that Russia and Ukraine’s core demands remain opposed (e.g., territorial control of Donbas and other regions). Sceptics also note that President Trump previously pledged to end the war quickly upon taking office, a promise that was never fulfilled, and they argue a June deadline now could reflect domestic political pressures in Washington (such as midterm election dynamics) more than actionable diplomacy on the ground. Opponents within Ukraine and abroad warn that setting an arbitrary deadline risks undermining Kyiv’s negotiating leverage if it appears willing to rush terms or concede on key principles.
Why This Matters:
This matters because it marks a significant shift in U.S. diplomatic posture toward an active timetable for ending the Russia-Ukraine war, a conflict with profound human, economic and geopolitical costs. A June deadline, whether informal or formal, could concentrate diplomatic pressure on both Kyiv and Moscow and mobilise allies to coordinate around clear milestones; but it could also backfire if either side resists external pressure, perceives the timeline as unrealistic, or calibrates its battlefield strategy to exploit diplomatic deadlines rather than pursue genuine compromise. How the deadline influences upcoming negotiations will shape the next phase of the war, international relations, security arrangements in Europe, and U.S. leadership credibility on conflict resolution. It could affect military planning, humanitarian relief, economic sanctions, and the broader balance of power between NATO states and Russia.
The Baseline:
Is this a political ploy or a meaningful plan to end war?
Can external deadlines influence battlefield realities?
What can Western states do to ensure this deadline is met? Is it our responsibility?
What gives the US the right to set these deadlines? Should they be able to?
Iran–US: Latest Developments
What’s Actually Happened:
Diplomatic contacts between the U.S. and Iran have resumed after months of heightened tensions that included threats of military action and regional military deployments. On 6 Feb, Iran and the U.S. concluded an indirect round of talks in Oman mediated by Omani officials, focusing on Iran’s nuclear programme and broader security concerns, with both sides stating they will continue negotiations. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi called the discussions a “good start” and said further talks would be scheduled after consulting capitals, while U.S. President Donald Trump described the meetings as serious but stressed that much remains unresolved. Before the Oman talks, both Tehran and Washington traded warnings, with the U.S. deploying a carrier strike group to the region and Iran insisting that negotiations cannot occur “under the shadow of threats.” The talks follow internal Iranian directives to pursue “equitable and fair negotiations” and diplomatic efforts in cities such as Istanbul and Muscat.
What’s Been Said:
US Framing - Reuters, Roic News, Sky News, Euro News
From Washington’s viewpoint, the current phase of talks represents a return to diplomacy designed to avert broader conflict, while simultaneously maintaining pressure on Tehran through military signalling and demands for more comprehensive concessions. The White House has publicly stated that Trump prefers a negotiated solution but retains “many options at his disposal aside from diplomacy,” reflecting a dual track of engagement and deterrence. U.S. negotiators have pressed Iran to discuss not only nuclear restraints but also Iran’s ballistic missile programme and its support for regional proxy groups, positions underscored by U.S. envoys, including Marco Rubio, in commentary on necessary negotiation scope. The U.S. emphasis has been on structuring talks that could prevent escalation and reduce the risk of another Middle Eastern conflict, but officials acknowledge key differences remain and that any deal will be difficult to achieve.
Iranian Framing - The Independent, Al Jazeera
Tehran’s framing reflects cautious engagement with diplomacy while resisting what it views as coercive pressures. Iranian leaders, including President Masoud Pezeshkian and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, have expressed willingness to meet and negotiate but have repeatedly insisted that discussions must occur in an atmosphere “free of threats and unreasonable expectations” and that core issues like uranium enrichment and defensive capabilities are not negotiable. Iran has demanded that talks be held on terms that it considers fair and equitable, for example, resisting broadening the agenda to include missile and regional policy issues that it sees as beyond the nuclear file. Iran has also been clear that it will respond to military threats and insists that its defensive posture is a sovereign matter. As the earlier rounds in Oman concluded, Tehran described progress as cautious and said both sides would consult with their capitals on how to proceed, highlighting the fundamentally fragile and unresolved nature of the engagement.
Why This Matters:
These talks matter because U.S.-Iran relations sit at the centre of Middle Eastern stability, with failure risking military escalation that could disrupt global energy markets and regional security. Even limited diplomatic engagement lowers the risk of miscalculation, but the wide gaps between both sides mean progress is far from assured. Whether diplomacy stabilises the situation or collapses under pressure will shape not only the nuclear issue but broader geopolitical alignments across the Gulf, Europe and beyond.
The Baseline:
Do you agree that this is the best way to negotiate?
Should we let Iran have control of nuclear weapons?
What precedent does this set for the rest of the world?
You’ve now reflected on these events, how they made you feel, what judgments you formed, and why.
That process is building your political judgement.
— The Baseline
